According to The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, Q1 2025 US GDP growth expectations on the prediction market Kalshi have officially turned negative, now at -0.4%. This signals the possibility of the first US GDP contraction since Q2 2022, which could drive increased volatility in equities, forex, and crypto markets as traders adjust to recession risk (Source: @KobeissiLetter via Twitter, April 29, 2025). Monitoring economic indicators and risk assets is crucial for trading strategies amid this macroeconomic shift.